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2024-12-14 01:50:02

The main force of Brent crude oil futures fell by 1.01% in the day to 72.80 US dollars/barrel.The Dow Jones Industrial Average was last reported at 44,200.59, up 0.12% in the day.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)


According to statistics, on December 12th, as of press time, five A-share listed companies including Alaide, Zhongzhong Technology, Yiwang Yichuang, Crystal Optoelectronics and Decai Co., Ltd. disclosed their holdings.The Turkish Foreign Ministry said that Minister Feidan was in Turkey, after the Syrian Ministry of Information said earlier that he was in Damascus.Spot silver fell more than 2.00% in the day and is now reported at $31.26 per ounce; COMEX silver fell more than 3.00% in a day and is now quoted at $31.98 per ounce.


Liu Xiaochun, Vice President of Shanghai New Finance Research Institute: Small and medium-sized financial institutions may focus on capital increase, restructuring and mergers and acquisitions. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of no systematic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Liu Xiaochun, vice president of Shanghai Institute of New Finance and Shanghai Jiaotong University Institute of Finance, believes that local debt risks are gradually being resolved, and efforts should be made to resolve real estate risks and risks of small and medium-sized financial institutions in the next stage. (SSE)Bitcoin rose nearly $700 in the short term, with an increase of 0.5% in the day, and is now reported at $101,588/piece.The test drive of Jiyue Direct Store is locked and can't be tested. "The test drive has been locked and can't be tested. It is meaningless to see the car now." On December 12, a staff member of a Jiyue Auto Direct Store in Minhang District, Shanghai told reporters. When asked about vehicle maintenance and after-sales, the staff did not give an answer and immediately walked into the office. In fact, since December 10th, there have been news that "the shareholders of Extreme Vietnam will no longer invest" and "Extreme Vietnam will close the vehicle business". Xia Yiping, CEO of Jiyue Automobile, explained in an internal meeting on December 12 that the company's account has been frozen, but it is still seeking financing. The company has not shut down or closed down, and the warranty and software services of the whole vehicle will not be interrupted. (Shell Finance)

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